Is a volatile stock market still the best alternative to risible savings rates?
Investing
in shares is not without risk, but if you do your research and can commit to a
long-term strategy you could prosper. Esther Shaw reports
Like
many people who want to make their savings work for them, Louise Dungate has
become increasingly frustrated by low interest rates. Undaunted by the prospect
of taking a risk, the knitwear designer from Balham in south-west London
decided to dip her toe in the stock market in an attempt to get a better
return.
Despite
the unsettled financial climate, the decision has proved profitable for the
29-year-old following her first investment 18 months ago. “Prior to that I’d
had money in cash Isas,” she says. “As I’m self-employed I don’t have a regular
salary, and need to make my money work as hard as it can.”
Dungate
made her first investment in a self-invested personal pension (Sipp). More
recently, she opened a stocks-and-shares Isa. “My Sipp now includes investments
with Unilever and Lloyds. In the past 18 months I’ve seen the value of my
portfolio rise by 4.74%,” she says.
Turning
to the stock market could be a more attractive proposition for savers at
present, with rates on cash at rock bottom. Ongoing low inflation, weaker
economic data, global uncertainties and the weakness in the oil price mean
there is little pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates any
time soon.
Already,
tens of millions of people have exposure to the market through their pension
pot or Isa, but it’s been a turbulent start to the year. “It’s the worst start
on record, in fact,” says Jason Hollands from adviser Tilney Bestinvest.
“Markets have reacted to poor economic data from China. The FTSE 100 has been
hit hard.”
But
while the FTSE may have plunged, one of the upsides of lower share prices is
that dividend yields have leapt up on many of these shares.
“The
current yield on shares has increased significantly over the past nine months,
with the yield of the FTSE 100 index now at a very attractive 4.25% per year,”
says Patrick Connolly from adviser Chase de Vere. “The yields on some
well-known individual shares look even more enticing, with HSBC at 7.6%, BP at
8.3%, Shell at 9% and Glencore at 14.4%.”
When
you invest in shares, income is distributed in the form of dividends. These
payments are usually made half-yearly as a reward for holding the company’s
shares. As a shareholder you can either take the cash or use the money to buy
more shares in the company. Reinvesting dividends can dramatically boost
returns over the long term – provided the shares go up.
With
yields looking good – Shell, for example, has committed to paying a dividend
for the next three years – savers may be wondering about investing their money.
The problem is, while the possibility of high yields is appealing, this doesn’t
tell the full story.
“Income
yields show the level of dividends paid as a proportion of the share price,”
says Connolly. “The reason why many shares have attractive-looking yields is
because their share prices have fallen, rather than because companies have been
increasing their dividend payouts. It isn’t a good position for an existing
investor to have a high yield on their shares if this is the result of them
having already suffered a big capital loss.”
Many
companies, and particularly in sectors such as oil and commodities, he says,
are under pressure. “It would be no surprise to see some companies cutting the
level of dividends they pay. This could, in turn, lead to further falls in
their share price.”
Damien
Fahy from finance website MoneytotheMasses, says: “Would-be investors shouldn’t
just focus on the current yield of a share. They also need to focus on the
likelihood that the dividend will be maintained – and indeed increased – year
on year. Shell may have committed to paying a dividend for three years, but
elsewhere there has been a swathe of companies cutting dividend payments.”
For
Dungate the hope to getting a higher return on her money is worth the risk. “I
appreciate that investing in the stock market is risky, but I’m willing to take
this risk in the hope of getting a higher return. I’m not investing everything
I have, and am prepared for the ups and downs.”
Should you take the risk?
While
rising stock market yields may make shares more attractive than other asset
classes – such as fixed interest, property and cash – you need to be aware of
the risks involved.
“Unlike
a cash savings account, investing in the stock market risks losing money,” says
Justin Modray from finance site Candid Money. “It’s all very well enjoying a
healthy dividend payout, but this may be little consolation if stock market
falls mean you’ve lost 10% of your original investment.”
If
you are simply fed up with the low rates on cash savings but would endure
sleepless nights worrying about the prospect of losing money, the stock market
is not for you. “It is better to put up with poor cash returns and sleep
peacefully knowing your money is safe,” Modray says.
This
is a view shared by Danny Cox from adviser Hargreaves Lansdown: “While the
yields may currently be attractive, those uncomfortable with capital risk
should stay in cash.”
Invest for the long term
That
said, if you are happy with the idea of taking on some risk this could be the
time to take the plunge.
“Right
now the average variable rate cash Isa is yielding just 0.85%,” Cox says. “This
makes the yields on stock markets look very attractive. Equally, investors who
brace themselves for the ups and downs will look back at this as being a decent
entry point. The UK markets are reasonable value, and a long way off their
all-time highs – so provide long-term profit opportunity.”
The
key is to only invest money that you can afford to leave there for at least
five or 10 years – to smooth out any bumps in the market.
“The
volatility of the markets may be off-putting for first-time investors, but the
increased investment risk does mean that over the long term there is the
potential you could achieve greater than you would from a savings account,”
says Fahy. “According to the Barclays Equity Gilt Study equities have produced
an average return of around 5.5% a year over the past 50 years. However, in
that time there have been big market falls as well as rallies.”
HOW TO GET STARTED
If
you are investing in the stock market for the first time, you need to tread
carefully. Decide what you want to achieve, how long you are planning to invest
for, and how much risk you are prepared to take. Does your homework or take
advice – visit unbiased.co.uk, a website that helps you search for local financial advisers?
■ Investment funds investing in individual
shares after researching a company carries a high risk. Reduce this by
investing in a range of shares through investment funds.
■ Equity income funds for those looking to
invest in companies with healthy dividends. Equity income funds typically
invest in a spread of FTSE 100 companies. Top picks from Tilney Bestinvest’s
Jason Hollands include Standard Life UK Equity Income Unconstrained, Ardevora
UK Income, and the smaller company-biased Unicorn UK Income fund.
■ Shop via a platform Good for first-time
investors, DIY investment platforms resemble an online supermarket from which
you can select from a range of investments provided by different companies, but
which are purchased and held in one place. These allow you to mix and match
funds from a range of managers, plus you can access a wealth of research,
information, tips and tools. Remember to look at the service offered as well as
any administration charges, dealing fees and any other extra costs. Platforms
include Hargreaves Lansdown, Bestinvest, and The Share Centre.
■ Costs Obviously these vary, and the
cheapest option will depend on the types of investment you want, and how big
your portfolio is. If you invest in funds expect to pay between 1% and 2% in
charges. If you want someone else to run a portfolio of trackers for you – and
do the asset allocation – Nutmeg is an option. With annual fees of between 0.3%
and 1% it may be a good option for novice investors.
■ Use your Isa If you’ve not used your Isa allowance it is
worth popping your funds or shares inside this tax-efficient wrapper.
■ Drip-feed your money Reduce the risk of
market timing by investing regular premiums on a monthly basis rather than
putting in a lump sum. That way if the market falls you simply buys at a
cheaper price the following month. You may be able to invest from as little as
£25 a month.
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